Archive for November, 2012
As the clock ticks and we watch the various players move their pieces into place, it’s becoming increasingly obvious that Republicans are in a no-win situation. They’re ether going to have to cave and agree to a tax increase without meaningful spending cuts or take the blame for going over the fiscal cliff. Here are five reasons why going over the cliff is by far the best option.
1. It’s a Trap!
Though House Speaker John Boehner foolishly helped to manufacture this trap by making tax increases the primary issue in the fiscal cliff negotiations, there’s still time to extricate himself and his party.
Obama and the media could not care less about the economy or the deficit or the middle class. What they want is a rerun of 1992 in 2014.
There was all kinds of media praise and back-slapping from Democrats after George H. W. Bush agreed to break his “read my lips” tax pledge in exchange for spending cuts. The result of that broken promise, though, was that he looked weak, like a dupe, and faced a bruising primary challenge for reelection in ’92. And during this campaign, the same media that had baited Bush into breaking his most memorable campaign promise, turned on him. We all know how that ended.
If House Republicans abandon the cornerstone of their party and agree to Obama’s tax increases, they are almost certain to lose the support of much of their base. The fallout would likely be worse than 1992.
After all, if conservatives can’t count on the GOP to hold the line on taxes, what good are they?
2. No Meaningful Spending Cuts Will Happen Between Now and Christmas
The other half of the fiscal cliff negotiations — which we haven’t heard a whole lot about in the media — is supposed to be real and meaningful spending cuts, which can only happen through serious entitlement reform. Again and again and again, though, from the likes for Democrat Sen. Dick Durbin and even some in the media, we’re told this kind of reform can’t possibly be done between now and the deadline at the end of this year.
This is nothing more than a ruse meant to fool the public into believing serious spending reforms passed this year would be reckless
Though all kinds of serious and thoughtful plans already exist to reform entitlements (like the Ryan Plan, which has passed the House twice), Democrats choose to pretend they don’t exist. This proves how unserious they are about meaningful spending reductions.
Should Republicans once again fall for raising taxes with only a “promise” from Obama regarding serious entitlement reform — a promise he’s made before and not kept — Republicans would be in even more electoral trouble than if they just raised taxes.
Agreeing to tax increases would be bad enough. Raising taxes after being suckered would be unforgivable.
3. Going Over the Cliff Gives Republicans Time to Fix Their Messaging
The biggest negotiating disadvantage Republicans are at right now is that they’re getting murdered on the messaging front. Both the media and Obama are running circles around a Party that seems thoroughly incapable of making the case for spending cuts and against raising taxes — a position that was once so easy to articulate it actually won us a few elections.
What the GOP needs more than a lousy deal is time to regroup, get their message down, and come up with a post-holiday plan for a media offensive that will get a message across that penetrates.
The moral and economic arguments against raising taxes on anyone, much less job producers, are legion. Moreover, this so-called crisis is not a revenue crisis; it’s a spending crisis. But Obama and the media have most Americans hoodwinked into believing otherwise — which is our fault.
The option between making a lousy deal now and taking the heat for going over the cliff but with the result being a better deal later, isn’t a great choice, but it is an easy one.
4. Real Spending Reform Can Happen Next Year
If Republicans hold firm to their principles and show Democrats they’re absolutely serious about spending cuts — serious enough the take the hit they’re sure to take for us going over the cliff — Republicans might be able to make this work for them in the long-term. Right now, Boehner has a gun to his head. Once that gun is fired, though, it’s fired. That takes some of the pressure off and immediately changes the negotiating dynamic because we no longer have a gun to our head.
With the right messaging from Republicans (always a concern), the current card Democrats are playing about how serious entitlement reform can’t be rushed, is off the table. From there, Republicans can pressure Obama and Democrats to get their act together. Best of all, there’s still a ticking clock. The sooner Democrats get serious about spending cuts, the sooner all Americans stop paying the higher taxes that will result in missing the end-of-year deadline.
5. A Tax-Hike Without Meaningful Spending Cuts Is Meaningless
Every year we rack up over a trillion dollars in unsustainable debt, and it’s just a fact that even if Obama got everything he wanted with respect to this income tax increase, it adds up to a drop in the bucket — it’s purely symbolic. But purely symbolic only in the arena of deficit reduction, not the very real effect tax increases could have on job creators.
Republicans caving before the deadline might win short-lived accolades from the media and Democrats, but on top of costing them the respect of their base, it would also be a cowardly move that accomplished nothing more than to take the pressure off.
Waiting till next year could mean actual and very real spending reductions.
Think about it…
And what good did TARP do us? Because we panicked and merely held off the inevitable, we’re now entering year five of anemic economic growth and unnecessarily high unemployment. Had we stayed out of the way and let the free market do what it does best — correct itself — we wouldn’t be in the mess we are now. Rather than let the bottom fall out, we spent trillions to extend the time it took for the bottom to fall out — which has only served to explode the deficit and prolong our economic woes.
This country needs a smart economic plan, not another fast and meaningless one that will do nothing to solve our spending problem.
Democrats are always talking about “shared sacrifice.” Let’s beat them at their own game and sell a little short-term “shared” pain from some long-term gain in the area of fiscal sanity and responsibility.
Republicans have history, facts, and economic policy on their side. If they can work on messaging and steel their spines, they can not only win politically, they can also do what’s right for their country.
But step one is going require the nerve necessary to hold firm.
If Republicans do the right but tough thing, I’m with them. If they cower and cave… I don’t even want to think about it.
By Xavier Lerma
Putin in 2009 outlined his strategy for economic success. Alas, poor Obama did the opposite but nevertheless was re-elected. Bye, bye Miss American Pie. The Communists have won in America with Obama but failed miserably in Russia with Zyuganov who only received 17% of the vote. Vladimir Putin was re-elected as President keeping the NWO order out of Russia while America continues to repeat the Soviet mistake.
After Obama was elected in his first term as president the then Prime Minister of Russia, Vladimir Putin gave a speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland in January of 2009. Ignored by the West as usual, Putin gave insightful and helpful advice to help the world economy and saying the world should avoid the Soviet mistake.
Recently, Obama has been re-elected for a 2nd term by an illiterate society and he is ready to continue his lies of less taxes while he raises them. He gives speeches of peace and love in the world while he promotes wars as he did in Egypt, Libya and Syria. He plans his next war is with Iran as he fires or demotes his generals who get in the way.
Putin said regarding the military,
James Carville, Democrat political consultant extraordinaire – and former Bill Clinton campaign manager, has astonishingly come out and said what all good Republicans have known for decades: Not only are most Democrats politically clueless; they’re easily manipulated by the puppet masters of their party as well. Wow. James Freaking Carville. Of all people. Here’s an excerpt, as quoted on Amazon.com:
“Ideologies aren’t all that important. What’s important is psychology. The Democratic constituency is just like a herd of cows. All you have to do is lay out enough silage and they come running. That’s why I became an operative working with Democrats. With Democrats all you have to do is make a lot of noise, lay out the hay, and be ready to use the ole cattle prod in case a few want to bolt the herd.
Eighty percent of the people who call themselves Democrats don’t have a clue as to political reality. What amazes me is that you could take a group of people who are hard workers and convince them that they should support social programs that were the exact opposite of their own personal convictions. Put a little fear here and there and you can get people to vote any way you want.
The voter is basically dumb and lazy. The reason I became a Democratic operative instead of a Republican was because there were more Democrats that didn’t have a clue than there were Republicans.
Truth is relative. Truth is what you can make the voter believe is the truth. If you’re smart enough, truth is what you make the voter think it is. That’s why I’m a Democrat. I can make the Democratic voters think whatever I want them to.”
Posted: 21 Nov 2012 10:40 PM PST
About a week ago, a little flurry broke out in a corner of Republican Congressland called the Republican Study Committee. The RSC is a caucus of conservative House members formed in the early 1970s to help keep an eye on the House leadership (who are precluded from membership). One of the more valuable things the RSC does is work on policy briefs, which it hopes will turn into bills the leadership will push to legislation.
Earlier this week, the RSC issued a 9-page policy brief on copyright legislation that said, essentially, currently law was hopelessly broken and proposed four big potential solutions.
- Statutory damages reform — in other words, saving granny the legal headaches
- Expand fair use — set those DJs free!
- Punish false copyright claims
- Heavily limit copyright terms, and create disincentives for renewal
It caused a huge splash in the tech community — articles complementing the report and the Republicans who issued it appeared at Techdirt, Slashdot, Ars Technica, and Boing Boing. Folks who are usually very skeptical of Republicans, especially on tech and intellectual property issues suddenly perked up and wanted to hear more.
Then something happened. The RSC withdrew the report and replaced with an apology that is perhaps best described by the headline in a follow-up article written by the legendary tech guru Cory Doctorow, founder of Boing Boing.
Cowardice: Gutless House Republicans retract copyright paper in less than 24 hours
Ouch. I think you see the huge problem here. In less than a day, Republicans essentially confirmed every fear the tech community had about them, the largest of which is how deeply the party is in the pocket of Big Business, especially Big Hollywood. Whether or not it’s true, that’s the obvious (and probably quite correct) conclusion tens of thousands of tech-savvy people, most of whom are in that coveted “young people” demographic*. Ron Coleman, an attorney who is my go-to guy on anything that involves copyright law, put together a very good timeline of events, including links to all the documents, retractions, and apologies.
The GOP rang a bell impossible to un-ring, then tried their best to dampen the tone and noped no one would notice the mountain of quilts where an impressive bell tower once stood. I honestly don’t know how they can buy back the honest interest they got from the tech community and not seem like a bunch of pandering politicians.
Then again, maybe they can’t look like anything else. There is that possibility.
*Whatever that is. I’m not so enamored with the “young person” conversation going on in the party right now, but that’s a discussion for another time.
“We have no government armed with power capable of contending with human passions unbridled by morality and religion. Avarice, ambition, revenge or gallantry would break the strongest cords of our Constitution as a whale goes through a net. Our Constitution is designed only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate for any other.” – John Adams, Oct. 11, 1798 in an Address to the military
In 1968, the Viet Cong and North Vietnamese Army insurgents rose up against the American and South Vietnamese forces in the Tet Offensive. They were wiped out, yet seven years later they were in control of the country. There are lessons there for us conservatives.
Conservatives, as opposed to the Republicans who partially overlap them on the Venn diagram of American politics, need a strategy. Strategy differs from mere tactics – it is a synchronization of potential ways (think courses of action) and available means (think resources) to achieve a long term end. Tactics are the techniques supporting the strategy. The Tea Party/conservative revolt had effective tactics – rallies, town halls – but the movement’s decentralized nature, with groups springing up around the country, kept it from developing an effective, coherent strategy this year.
Obama certainly had a strategy, to make the election a choice of him versus Romney. In contrast, Romney’s strategy seemed to be not to be Obama, which was not really a strategy at all, and the conservative strategy was merely to back the GOP nominee.
Right now, there is one strategy that offers us hope of turning the leftward tide. Insurgency is the classic fallback strategy for groups that cannot prevail in a stand-up fight, and right now we can’t. It’s clear that while we represent a significant minority of voters, we are facing highly organized ideological opponents who occupy the high ground in the government and who can rely on the unwavering support of the mainstream media. Like the allies in Vietnam, they have the cities and they have the firepower.
Insurgents survive and win by avoiding decisive engagements until a time and place of their choosing. Tet was not the Communists’ time, and right now, we are not in a position for a decisive battle either. So what do we do?
We start thinking like guerillas – political and cultural guerillas.
In spite of all the bad news, there is good news coming out of New York and New Jersey. People are helping each other. Folks are coming from all over the country to get utilities operating again, debris cleared, and food distributed.
The St. George Airport will begin flights to Phoenix and Denver as well as Salt Lake and L.A. next year.